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Red97
500427.6
241544.8
424019.9
Blue107
553629.6
513231.6
164832.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939270809010011012097107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.5
42.543.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 12.6
1648
#27
32.21.1
31.032.1
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
5004
#34
27.60.5
26.627.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End5.2
blue by 3.9
31.61.1
32.033.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
Third
4240
#39
19.90.5
20.621.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.2
blue by 9.7
5536
#12
29.61.1
27.428.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned