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Red129
563233.1
297440.5
558229.1
Blue115
533235.2
241544.8
470121.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96978090100110120129115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#17
40.51.7
37.338.9
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
blue by 4.2
44.81.4
43.044.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
5632
#19
33.11.7
32.734.4
Auto10.3
Teleop17.5
End5.3
blue by 2.1
35.21.4
31.532.9
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Third
5582
#28
29.11.7
24.025.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End5.4
red by 7.6
4701
#40
21.61.4
19.220.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed