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Red80
500427.6
360031.8
560834.2
Blue88
402633.4
100226.4
332926.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94822040601201401608088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5608
#16
34.20.6
31.430.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
red by 0.7
33.40.4
28.428.8
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Second
3600
#32
31.80.6
31.030.3
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
red by 5.3
26.50.4
28.228.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
5004
#34
27.60.6
27.126.5
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 1.2
1002
#30
26.40.4
24.725.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned