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Red68
494123.6
402633.4
419315.0
Blue78
491032.4
358126.3
332926.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669702040801201401606878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
29.028.6
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
red by 1.1
4910
#14
32.41.1
32.531.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
Second
4941
#25
23.60.4
23.823.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
blue by 2.9
26.51.1
29.828.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
4193
#36
15.00.4
16.015.6
Auto1.9
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 11.3
3581
#13
26.31.1
27.626.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed