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Red114
360031.8
418842.0
309129.1
Blue86
297440.5
617719.0
470121.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047620406012014016011486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.1
41.642.7
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 1.5
2974
#17
40.50.2
39.039.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
3600
#32
31.81.1
27.328.4
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
red by 10.2
4701
#40
21.60.2
21.221.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
3091
#26
29.11.1
28.029.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
red by 10.1
6177
#29
19.00.2
17.617.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed