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Red93
446838.8
563233.1
581219.9
Blue102
241544.8
131126.3
164832.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941075015020093102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.3
38.037.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
blue by 5.9
44.80.0
45.245.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
5632
#19
33.10.3
34.333.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 0.9
1648
#27
32.20.0
31.431.4
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Third
5812
#24
19.90.3
20.620.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End3.8
blue by 6.5
1311
#20
26.30.0
25.525.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed