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Red70
358126.3
548231.3
582818.3
Blue127
558229.1
174646.3
560834.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310805015070127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#10
31.30.4
30.530.1
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
blue by 15.0
46.31.5
41.242.7
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
3581
#13
26.30.4
26.526.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
blue by 7.8
5608
#16
34.21.5
32.934.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Third
5828
#37
18.30.4
19.218.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 10.8
5582
#28
29.11.5
25.527.0
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned