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Red83
418842.0
500427.6
419315.0
Blue89
360031.8
590026.0
411219.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9269204060801001201408389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.2
42.742.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 10.2
3600
#32
31.81.3
28.429.7
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
Second
5004
#34
27.60.2
27.427.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 1.7
5900
#22
26.01.3
23.024.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Third
4193
#36
15.00.2
15.615.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 4.8
4112
#11
19.91.3
18.720.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed