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Red79
565114.8
126141.6
507419.4
Blue90
584021.7
241544.8
332926.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69104204060801201401607990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.5
42.042.5
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
blue by 3.1
44.80.4
45.244.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
5074
#35
19.40.5
17.518.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 7.1
26.50.4
28.728.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
5651
#41
14.80.5
12.613.0
Auto1.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
blue by 6.9
5840
#33
21.70.4
22.221.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed