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Red94
513231.6
451624.3
533235.2
Blue92
402633.4
83227.6
470121.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9873204060801201401609492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.2
33.233.4
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
red by 1.8
33.40.8
28.629.5
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Second
31.60.2
32.732.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
red by 4.0
832
#38
27.60.8
24.425.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
Third
4516
#18
24.30.2
25.725.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
red by 2.7
4701
#40
21.60.8
21.422.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed