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Red105
491032.4
590026.0
164832.2
Blue85
617719.0
408026.3
558229.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93702040608010012014010585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#14
32.41.2
31.432.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
red by 3.2
5582
#28
29.10.9
27.027.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Second
1648
#27
32.21.2
31.432.6
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End3.3
red by 5.9
4080
#21
26.30.9
26.427.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5900
#22
26.01.2
24.325.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End3.1
red by 6.9
6177
#29
19.00.9
17.818.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed