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Red117
418829.2
446829.8
507412.3
Blue60
402621.2
500425.1
331814.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7869020406010012014011760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.8
27.128.0
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 4.7
25.10.0
24.924.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
Second
29.20.7
26.927.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 8.0
21.20.0
21.121.1
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
5074
#31
12.30.7
9.910.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
blue by 2.1
3318
#18
14.40.0
14.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7