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Red102
241530.5
297432.9
419311.6
Blue91
126124.6
533226.7
42409.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017202040608012014016010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
33.033.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 6.2
26.70.1
26.426.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
30.50.0
30.630.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 6.0
24.60.1
24.224.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
4193
#34
11.60.0
11.711.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 2.0
4240
#27
9.60.1
9.39.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6