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Red107
241530.5
297432.9
419311.6
Blue85
582815.9
548225.7
451616.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016420408012014010785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.3
32.733.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 7.3
5482
#12
25.70.2
25.525.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Second
30.50.3
30.330.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 13.9
4516
#17
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Third
4193
#34
11.60.3
11.411.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 4.3
5828
#13
15.90.2
15.815.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8