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Red109
241530.5
297432.9
419311.6
Blue82
582815.9
548225.7
451616.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10064020408012014010982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.2
32.532.7
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 7.3
5482
#12
25.70.1
25.425.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Second
30.50.3
30.030.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 13.9
4516
#17
16.70.1
16.416.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Third
4193
#34
11.60.3
11.111.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 4.3
5828
#13
15.90.1
15.715.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8