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Red75
241530.5
297432.9
419311.6
Blue68
126124.6
533226.7
42409.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10173204060801201407568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.1
33.032.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 6.2
26.70.2
26.526.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
30.50.1
30.630.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 6.0
24.60.2
24.424.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
4193
#34
11.60.1
11.711.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 2.0
4240
#27
9.60.2
9.59.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6