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Red0
613913.6
573411.2
510913.9
Blue5
56514.0
33447.6
470116.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535002040608010012014005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#19
13.95.7
17.611.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
blue by 2.5
4701
#15
16.34.9
17.112.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
6139
#21
13.64.4
14.49.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 6.0
3344
#36DQ
7.64.9
16.111.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
5734
#30DQ
11.25.7
18.012.3
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 7.1
5651
#39
4.04.9
15.810.9
Auto-1.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed