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Red5
42409.6
411211.0
521913.2
Blue57
500425.1
297432.9
309117.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51630204080100120557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5219
#22
13.25.1
15.510.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 19.7
32.90.3
27.427.1
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
Second
4112
#20
11.05.1
19.614.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 14.1
25.10.3
16.015.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
Third
4240
#27
9.65.1
16.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6
blue by 7.9
3091
#25
17.60.3
16.316.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed