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Red10
44596.9
363513.5
402621.2
Blue25
164822.8
582815.9
617716.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55561020304050607080901025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.25.6
19.914.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 1.5
1648
#10
22.83.1
21.618.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Second
3635
#11
13.55.6
18.012.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.0
End3.1
blue by 3.4
6177
#14
16.96.5
19.012.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Third
4459
#35
6.95.6
17.111.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 9.0
5828
#13
15.95.8
18.312.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed