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Red25
470116.3
358112.5
558212.6
Blue27
363513.5
42409.6
38159.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394010203050602527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4701
#15
16.32.0
12.210.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 2.8
3635
#11
13.52.4
12.510.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Second
5582
#16DQ
12.62.0
14.212.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
red by 2.9
3815
#23
9.82.4
15.212.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
Third
3581
#24
12.52.0
11.99.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 2.9
4240
#27
9.62.4
10.88.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed