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Red34
309117.6
613913.6
164822.8
Blue64
500425.1
451616.7
126124.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455302060801001201401603464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#10
22.81.2
18.517.4
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
blue by 2.3
25.11.6
15.717.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
Second
3091
#25
17.61.2
16.014.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.5
End4.1
blue by 7.0
24.61.6
22.724.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Third
6139
#21
13.61.2
9.98.8
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 3.0
4516
#17
16.71.6
11.413.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed