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Red30
533226.7
521913.2
33299.8
Blue10
47307.5
573411.2
582815.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400102030506070803010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.4
18.617.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 10.8
5828
#13
15.94.4
12.58.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Second
5219
#22
13.21.4
10.49.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 2.0
5734
#30DQ
11.24.4
12.37.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
3329
#32
9.81.4
13.612.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 2.3
4730
#40DQ
7.54.4
14.710.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed