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Red25
529317.5
558212.6
411211.0
Blue55
241530.5
331814.4
548225.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040801001202555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#29
17.53.3
17.414.1
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 13.1
30.50.3
25.525.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
Second
5582
#16DQ
12.63.3
17.414.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 13.0
5482
#12
25.70.3
12.212.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.1
Third
4112
#20
11.03.3
14.511.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 3.3
3318
#18
14.40.3
19.719.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed