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Red30
533226.7
507412.3
44596.9
Blue41
470116.3
126124.6
33299.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404901020306070803041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.2
19.417.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 2.1
24.60.6
25.024.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Second
5074
#31
12.32.2
10.38.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
blue by 4.1
4701
#15
16.30.6
11.110.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Third
4459
#35
6.92.2
10.28.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 2.9
3329
#32
9.80.6
9.99.3
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed