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Red27
494111.1
179515.8
529317.5
Blue40
558212.6
613913.6
617716.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432702060801002740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#29
17.51.4
15.414.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 0.6
6177
#14
16.91.3
11.012.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Second
1795
#26
15.81.4
12.110.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
red by 2.1
6139
#21
13.61.3
7.99.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
4941
#28
11.11.4
12.010.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 1.6
5582
#16
12.61.3
9.811.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed13%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed