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Red45
47307.5
309117.6
558212.6
Blue10
58487.7
44596.9
510913.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412902060804510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3091
#25
17.60.2
16.817.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.5
End4.1
red by 3.7
5109
#19
13.92.2
13.511.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Second
5582
#16
12.60.2
11.111.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
red by 4.9
5848
#37
7.72.2
8.46.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
4730
#40DQ
7.50.2
10.410.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.3
End0.6
red by 0.6
4459
#35
6.92.2
8.05.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed