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Red30
613913.6
418829.2
529317.5
Blue49
358112.5
297432.9
533226.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46602040803049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.8
23.321.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 3.7
32.90.8
28.527.7
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
Second
5293
#29
17.51.8
14.012.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 9.2
26.70.8
17.216.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Third
6139
#21
13.61.8
9.27.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 1.1
3581
#24
12.50.8
10.29.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed