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Red70
418829.2
521913.2
582815.9
Blue39
584014.4
613913.6
494111.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060807039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.23.3
21.524.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 14.9
5840
#33
14.40.6
17.017.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Second
5828
#13
15.93.3
10.013.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 2.3
6139
#21
13.60.6
7.37.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
5219
#22
13.23.3
9.112.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 2.1
4941
#28
11.10.6
9.710.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed