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Red70
500425.1
446829.8
33447.6
Blue40
451616.7
38159.8
47307.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801007040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.8
23.925.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 13.1
4516
#17
16.70.5
15.315.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
25.11.8
18.920.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
red by 15.3
3815
#23
9.80.5
9.610.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
Third
3344
#36
7.61.8
11.213.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End1.5
red by 0.1
4730
#40DQ
7.50.5
10.511.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed