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Red40
358112.5
331814.4
38159.8
Blue61
582815.9
174633.1
58487.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530204060801004061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3318
#18
14.40.1
14.214.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 18.7
33.11.3
28.129.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.8
End5.3
Second
3581
#24
12.50.1
12.011.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 3.4
5828
#13
15.91.3
13.314.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Third
3815
#23
9.80.1
10.19.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
red by 2.0
5848
#37
7.71.3
7.58.8
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed