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Red62
510913.9
241530.5
617716.9
Blue60
179515.8
451616.7
573411.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801006260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.7
30.631.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 13.9
4516
#17
16.72.6
15.818.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
6177
#14
16.90.7
12.713.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
red by 1.1
1795
#26
15.82.6
12.014.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
5109
#19
13.90.7
12.012.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
red by 2.7
5734
#30
11.22.6
9.011.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed