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Red70
297432.9
558212.6
582815.9
Blue14
507412.3
573411.2
419311.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66340204060801007014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.1
29.730.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 20.6
5074
#31
12.32.4
12.39.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Second
5828
#13
15.91.1
14.615.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 4.3
4193
#34
11.62.4
13.611.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
5582
#16
12.61.1
14.715.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
red by 1.5
5734
#30
11.22.4
11.69.1
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed