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Red32
451616.7
358112.5
33447.6
Blue15
44596.9
411211.0
56514.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801003215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4516
#17
16.71.7
18.416.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 5.7
4112
#20
11.01.6
11.710.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Second
3581
#24
12.51.7
11.910.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 5.6
4459
#35
6.91.6
8.77.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
3344
#36
7.61.8
13.011.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End1.5
red by 3.6
5651
#39DQ
4.01.6
9.78.1
Auto-1.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed