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Red50
451616.7
582815.9
548225.7
Blue75
297432.9
42409.6
446829.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487702040601001205075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
25.70.1
22.622.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.1
blue by 7.3
32.90.4
32.532.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
Second
4516
#17
16.70.1
15.415.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
blue by 13.1
29.80.4
28.428.8
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
5828
#13
15.90.1
13.313.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 6.3
4240
#27
9.60.4
9.810.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed