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Red65
363513.5
500425.1
179515.8
Blue35
510913.9
419311.6
529317.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801006535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.6
24.325.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
red by 7.6
5293
#29
17.50.3
13.212.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Second
1795
#26
15.81.6
12.113.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
red by 1.9
5109
#19
13.90.3
14.113.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
3635
#11
13.51.6
10.412.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 1.9
4193
#34
11.60.3
11.110.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed