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Red66
529317.5
582815.9
33299.8
Blue35
419311.6
179515.8
33447.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363001020405060706635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#29
17.52.2
12.915.1
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 1.7
1795
#26
15.80.4
13.714.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Second
5828
#13
15.92.2
13.115.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
red by 4.3
4193
#34
11.60.4
10.811.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
3329
#32
9.82.2
7.910.1
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 2.2
3344
#36
7.60.4
5.86.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
11%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed