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Red42
494111.1
521913.2
510913.9
Blue41
164822.8
573411.2
358112.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801004241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#19
13.90.4
13.814.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
blue by 8.9
1648
#10
22.80.2
21.821.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Second
5219
#22
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 0.6
3581
#24
12.50.2
10.410.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
4941
#28
11.10.4
10.711.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 0.1
5734
#30
11.20.2
11.411.2
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed