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Red117
491026.4
297439.8
559412.9
Blue105
418927.8
563231.8
419513.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101906080120140160117105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.1
39.439.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 7.9
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Second
26.40.1
26.026.1
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
blue by 1.5
27.80.3
27.527.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
5594
#25
12.90.1
12.612.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4195
#24
13.50.3
13.213.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6