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Red102
491026.4
297439.8
559412.9
Blue108
418927.8
563231.8
419513.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102896080120140160102108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.1
39.639.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 7.9
31.80.3
31.231.5
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Second
26.40.1
26.226.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
blue by 1.5
27.80.3
27.227.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
5594
#25
12.90.1
12.712.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4195
#24
13.50.3
12.913.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6