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Red98
418927.8
563231.8
419513.5
Blue95
500428.8
560823.8
408017.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91886070801001101201309895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
30.930.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
red by 3.1
5004
#10
28.80.1
28.728.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
27.80.1
26.926.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 4.0
23.80.1
23.723.8
Auto2.4
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Third
4195
#24
13.50.1
12.512.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 3.9
4080
#22
17.40.1
17.317.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End3.3