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Red94
507414.4
513227.1
419311.4
Blue99
168320.7
474929.3
602317.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56872040801001201409499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.4
26.727.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End4.2
blue by 2.2
29.30.3
29.329.6
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Second
5074
#16
14.40.4
14.114.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 6.3
1683
#20
20.70.3
20.721.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Third
4193
#18
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
blue by 6.0
6023
#15
17.40.3
17.417.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End4.0