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Red102
83225.4
548228.2
131120.6
Blue103
418927.8
563231.8
419513.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9390406080100120140160102103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#11
28.20.1
28.228.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End4.9
blue by 3.6
31.80.3
31.031.2
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Second
832
#12
25.40.1
25.325.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.8
End3.9
blue by 2.5
27.80.3
27.027.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
1311
#21
20.60.1
20.620.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
red by 7.1
4195
#24
13.50.3
12.612.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6