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Red98
177128.3
451625.8
141415.7
Blue106
83225.4
548228.2
131120.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869340608010012014016098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 0.1
5482
#11
28.20.3
28.028.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End4.9
Second
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 0.4
832
#12
25.40.3
25.125.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Third
1414
#26
15.70.2
15.615.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 4.9
1311
#21
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6