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Red77
491026.4
58126.2
451625.8
Blue64
369419.1
500428.8
141415.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457020801007764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.5
20.923.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
blue by 2.4
5004
#10
28.80.7
25.726.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
25.81.5
18.720.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 6.7
3694
#14
19.11.2
15.616.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Third
5812
#23
6.22.5
4.97.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 9.5
1414
#26
15.71.2
11.913.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed