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Red79
131120.6
474929.3
507414.4
Blue61
326518.1
168320.7
408017.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245102030406070807961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.0
23.024.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 8.6
1683
#20
20.71.8
15.617.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Second
1311
#21
20.61.0
16.517.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
red by 2.6
3265
#17
18.11.8
13.215.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Third
5074
#16
14.40.6
10.310.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 2.9
4080
#22
17.41.8
16.017.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed