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Red90
177128.3
418927.8
602317.4
Blue52
369419.1
419311.4
563231.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64552040801009052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.6
22.624.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End4.9
blue by 3.5
31.80.3
27.327.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Second
27.81.6
21.923.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 8.8
3694
#14
19.10.3
16.816.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Third
6023
#15
17.41.6
16.317.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End4.0
red by 6.0
4193
#18
11.40.2
10.610.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed