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Red25
141415.7
419513.5
507414.4
Blue44
491026.4
131120.6
357313.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5047304060702544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#26
15.72.6
18.415.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 10.7
26.40.3
14.314.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
Second
5074
#16
14.41.5
12.911.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 6.2
1311
#21
20.60.3
19.519.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
4195
#24
13.52.6
16.714.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 0.2
3573
#19
13.30.3
12.712.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed