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Red75
418927.8
563231.8
500428.8
Blue35
590012.6
408017.4
83225.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68490204060801001207535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.3
18.720.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
red by 6.5
832
#12
25.41.8
18.516.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Second
5004
#10
28.80.8
23.123.9
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
red by 11.4
4080
#22
17.41.8
16.715.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
27.81.3
21.522.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 15.3
5900
#27
12.611.0
24.913.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed