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Red43
494123.6
369419.5
560834.2
Blue55
309129.1
510922.4
174639.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76970501502002504355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5608
#17
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
blue by 5.6
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
Second
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
blue by 5.5
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
Third
3694
#24
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 2.9
5109
#14
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds4%Capture odds