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Red55
513231.6
423512.2
100226.4
Blue81
331814.4
177131.4
418836.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70870501001502002505581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#16
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
blue by 4.9
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Second
1002
#23
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End3.7
blue by 5.0
1771
#11
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
Third
4235
#28
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.2
blue by 2.2
3318
#19
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds7%Capture odds